Alex Kaplan / Media Matters - "A pro-Trump forum is helping other toxic subreddits relaunch outside of Reddit" (KiA mentioned) - KotakuInAction - The almost-official GamerGate website

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Alex Kaplan / Media Matters - "A pro-Trump forum is helping other toxic subreddits relaunch outside of Reddit" (KiA mentioned) (archive.md)

posted 4 years ago by B-VOLLEYBALL-READY 4 years ago by B-VOLLEYBALL-READY +138 / -2

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– pseudosapient 3 points 4 years ago +3 / -0

More like they expect everyone to drink the kool-aid.

By which I mean, a lot of people seem to expect that if you always force everyone to signal X, people with dissenting opinions will sooner or later go "everyone else is signaling X so X must be correct".

It's way over-naive naive Bayesian analysis taken to an extreme. i.e. "I think X is 10% likely, this person thinks X is definitely true, so I'll adjust to 11%, this person thinks X is definitely true so I'll adjust to 12%, etc, etc, X is definitely likely".

In practice, what happens is instead "I think X is 10% likely, but am being pushed to say X. This person says X is definitely true, but I think there's an 80% chance that everyone is being pushed to say X not just me. Adjust to 11% likely. This other person says X is also definitely true, but I think there's an 80% chance that everyone is being pushed to say X not just me and I'm not going to double-count. I still think X is 11% likely, and now think there's an 81% chance that everyone is being pushed to say X. Repeat.".

(This is also overly naive, but gets the idea across hopefully.)

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